Showing posts with label long term investment. Show all posts
Showing posts with label long term investment. Show all posts

Monday, November 25, 2013

A Generational Shift is Coming

We've long known that the real estate industry is aging, with the average salesperson now in his or her late 50s.  What we also know now is that the recent, long-lasting recession caused an entire cohort of people either to leave the business, or not get into it in the first place.  That leaves us, like architecture and other fields with cyclical demand and incomes, without the next generation ready to step up and lead, or, in this case, even to sell.

That's important to some extent simply because we currently have experienced real estate agents having to adjust to new technology, new laws, new ways of selling, and buyers who are often the age of their children.  While many are up to the task, or even more than up to it, there is a void left for buyers who wish to work with agents who look like themselves.  For instance, there is a shortage of supply among agents who have school-age children.  Also, our industry is less diverse--sometimes much less diverse---than the population we serve.  That is, in part, because the world is becoming more diverse as younger people intermarry, while older groups are often less likely to have done so.  Even our social customs have evolved, with younger groups less inclined to plan ahead, making it more challenging to plan showings and appointments.

What will the future bring?  What we are starting to see now is a much younger demographic entering the sales force, for several reasons.  First of all, there are very few barriers to entry.  You need a license, and some training, and you're good to go.  For kids having trouble cracking an anemic job market, real estate is an increasingly popular choice.  Secondly, it takes some time and some money to get going, since you live from commission to commission, and they don't happen right away.  So many boomers are now supporting their 20-something children, for recessional reasons and others, that they may as well support them to enter real estate, as pay their rent so that they can be an underpaid intern somewhere.  And, unlike that intern, they may be able to become self-supporting without changing jobs, as their skills and contacts increase.  As a parent, you can directly influence your child's income, by sending your friends and coworkers to him or her as clients!  Thirdly, real estate is a low-risk way to be in your own business.  It doesn't take much capital, unless you are the broker, but you are running your own small firm.  That appeals to millennials, especially since it doesn't require being at a desk at all, certainly not on specific days and at specific hours. It uses skills that are second nature to digital natives.  Even going to a party counts as networking, so there are opportunities to sell everywhere and at any time.  Finally, the real estate industry is ripe for change, for growth, and for the advent of a new generation.  In the midst of an entrepreneurial boom, real estate is front and center--everybody lives somewhere!

Friday, May 8, 2009

WTNH Interview with Barbara Pearce

Watch the Video: People owing more than house worth WTNH.com

Updated: Wednesday, 06 May 2009, 7:30 PM EDT
Published : Wednesday, 06 May 2009, 7:05 PM EDT

Story by:
Chris Velardi

(WTNH) - It's a tough time for homeowners. The values of their homes are dropping and according to a new report, one in five owes more than the home is actually worth.

The real estate market has been at the center of the economic crisis and a new report from the real estate website Zillow.com is probably gonna make you feel real good about things.

The study estimates home values in the U.S. have fallen $704 billion in 2009 and $3.8 trillion in the last year.

That's the bad news.

The good news, News Channel 8 found some experts who say the numbers don't tell the whole story.

Barbara Pearce, the President of H-Pearce Realtors, doesn't believe they paint the whole picture.

"You're trying to compare something that is a long-term investment, at a point in time, and there's always gonna be a question about; is it a fair point in time?" said Pearce.

The numbers are part of a report from the home value tracking website Zillow.com -- which indicates a sharp drop in home values over the last year.

These aren't selling prices; these are estimated values what your house would be worth if you sold it today.

In Connecticut, the percentage of 'underwater' homes is slightly lower than the national average.

But again, Pearce said the numbers are a bit misleading.

"If the median person, which I've heard, financed in the last few years financed 97-percent of the purchase price, it doesn't take much to put you underwater," said Pearce.

Peter Grabel is a private mortgage banker with Stamford-based Luxury Mortgage Corporation.
He also thinks the Zillow numbers are inflated.

"My understanding is that they used the original mortgage balance and not the balance that someone might have been paid down to, which could be substantially lower and also on home equity lines; they're using the full amount of the line and not the line that's drawn," said Grabel. "And there could be a substantial difference."

But most important -- according to Grabel -- is all real estate statistics are relative. It's a reminder echoed by Pearce who said real estate must be measured very locally.

"Sometimes it's street to street, it's not even neighborhood to neighborhood; it's certainly not even town to town," said Grabel.