Blizzard

We were closed yesterday. I was supposed to be leaving town, but that obviously didn't happen. When I woke up, I couldn't tell how much snow there was, because it had blown around so much. There is no school this week, so I couldn't use the school closings as a guide. It was Monday after a holiday, so I didn't have yesterday's news to go by. Since we'd already cancelled the paper and Comcast was knocked out by the storm, I didn't have today's news to go by! So how did I decide to close?

Well, real estate is almost always a delayable purchase. Many buyers, as well as agents, don't want to drive if they don't need to do so. Those warnings and pleas from the Governor's office, to stay home if you can? They generally apply to us. In addition, most people don't want their properties shown in bad weather, because they don't want to take the risk that a prospective buyer would fall or get hurt trying to get in. Most inspections, closings, negotiations, and other business can be delayed for a day. Everything else, including anything that can be done with a computer and email, will proceed as usual. It's one of the benefits of the change in real estate, away from bricks and mortar and toward clicks.

Of course, we always worry that we will inconvenience someone who expects us to be open. That's why it matters whether everything else is up and running. As far as I could tell yesterday, not much was. So why make employees struggle to come in, only to sit around without any calls or visitors?

Finally, I think a lot of people hoped that the Christmas spirit would linger one more day, if we all took a deep breath and relaxed. And, at least for us, it did!

Is the Tide Turning?

Yesterday was the busiest day for property sales that we've had in a long time. I spent the morning today trying to track down the reasons, and there are several possible causes. Two sales came about because the owners brought down their prices. In at least one instance, that produced multiple offers, so clearly buyers are motivated also. They aren't closing before the end of the year, so I don't think it's for tax purposes on the seller's part. It could, however, be due to the cold weather and the arrival of heating bills.

Two of the buyers are coming from Manhattan, so we're wondering whether the bonuses came early this year. There have been some news articles that make that claim, so it could be true. One buyer is about to start a new job, and was in a hurry (although, in the past, those people could have--and probably would have--rented in the short term). One renter turned into a buyer, and that could be an outgrowth of interest rates rising, with the prospect of higher rates next year.

We've had walk-ins as well, which means that people have gotten the message that the time to buy is now. Or maybe it's our Christmas present as agents! Either way, we'll take it.

Last Call

The Wall Street Journal had an article about buying a house for your child for Christmas. I guess it's appropriate that such an article would be in the WSJ, but it's an interesting idea and deserves some thought!

However, for the average person, it's time to think about buying a property as a holiday gift for yourself. If you hurry, and really move on the mortgage and the inspections, you might even get in for the New Year's celebration. We bought our current house that way. We signed the contract around Thanksgiving, and moved in the weekend before New Year's Day. We even thought of the purchase as a present to ourselves, since, at the time, it was our second home. Many people now do that--buying a vacation home now, with the idea that you might retire to it, is increasingly common with baby boomers. After all, how many socks and sweaters do you need? Putting all the gift money together, and doing something big with it, is likely to be the present that you remember--and enjoy--longest of all.

2009 Can't Come Too Soon

We real estaters are eagerly awaiting the drop of the ball in Times Square, so that the page can turn from 2008 to 2009, when we fervently hope that consumers will start buying real estate again. On my run this morning, I was explaining to one of my friends that it DOES make sense to trade up, since he will save more on the new house than he will "lose" selling the old one in this market. When will people stop putting their lives on hold? Of course, I'm biased.

I've been thinking a lot about consumer behavior over the past few days. We went to see Frost/Nixon in the Connecticut Post Mall, and discovered that the world is indeed still flocking to malls, or at least they were there, searching for bargains, on the day after Christmas. Movies seem to be attracting crowds, as we've seen on our movie binge after Christmas. In addition to Frost/Nixon, we saw Milk and Doubt. Of the three, Milk stands out as an amazing film; of course, I did see the play versions of the other two, so the suspense wasn't there. We saw all those movies after seeing several plays in a row at the start of the month. We loved A Civil War Christmas at Long Wharf Theatre, Rough Crossing at Yale Rep, and Mamma Mia at the Shubert, plus I also enjoyed Sister's Christmas Catechism at Long Wharf. It's amazing to be able to live in a small city like New Haven and see such a broad diversity of great theater. A Civil War Christmas, in particular, I expect to see popping up all over the country in the next few years--but we saw it here first!

According to other friends, liquor is selling, beauty salons are doing well, and restaurants seem to be holding their own. The last fact really puzzles me, and maybe it's not true. It seems as though eating out would be the first luxury to go, before you stop buying cars and clothes. I went into a clothing chain store yesterday, and the clothes seem to be selling for less than the cloth alone would cost. I'm glad that all you need to run is a pair of sneakers!